2021 NFL free agency Projected market value for each position who could earn the most at QB RB WR and more
2021 NFL free agency Projected market value for each position who could earn the most at QB RB WR and more
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The official start of 2021 NFL free agency is just around the corner. Dozens of big names are set to hit the open market, and while a handful will be locked up (at least temporarily) with franchise tags, plenty more will get the chance to explore new homes around the league. With a in order after 2020's pandemic-related lo ses, how much can we expect the top free agents to command? We decided to look back at the top earners from every position last offseason, then forecast this year's market based on supply, demand and recent contract precedents.In doing so, we excluded the following players from 2021 projections because they're widely expected to receive the franchise tag: QB , WR , WR , OT , DE and S . We also sorted top contracts from 2020 by average money per year rather than total money. For example, got more total money ($63 million) than ($25 million) in 2020, but the latter averaged more per year. One final note: Only players who actually entered free agency's legal tampering period without a contract are included in our review of the top 2020 deals.Top 2020 free agent earners: ($25 million), Philip Rivers ($25 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners: , , Projected market value: $5 million-$10 million per yearThis may be an unprecedented offseason in terms of QB movement, but it is most definitely not a good one if you're looking to add a starter in free agency. Even in the event Winston or Fitzpatrick finagles a team for a two- or three-year gig with starting upside, the peak QB deal this year shouldn't come close to those earned by the old (but lucrative) winners of 2020. That's because not a single 2021 free agent here is deserving of an unquestioned starting job. Top 2020 free agent earners: ($8 Jaroslav Halak Men Jersey million), ($5.5 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$10 million-$15 million per yearUnlike the 2020 market, where outcast starters struggled to get close to $10 million per year, there's a solid crop of younger, multipurpose backs this time around. Jones should pace them all and coax close to $15 million out of the top bidder if he escapes Green Bay, roughly matching stars like and . Carson could conceivably hit the Dalvin Cook/Derrick Henry range of $12 million.Top 2020 free agent earners: ($20 million), ($10 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$12 million-$20 million per year If there's one group that could blow the numbers out of the water, it's WR, where (including tag candidates) we could see upwards of eight or nine guys top $10 million per year. Godwin may well get tagged, but the have others to pay, too. Smith-Schuster, Fuller, and could all clear $12 million as high-upside starters. T.Y. Hilton, , and might all be bargains just because of the quantity here.Top 2020 free agent earners: ($10.5 million), ($8 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$9 million-$11 million per yearNeither of 2020's top deals look particularly great, with Hooper looking just so-so and Graham likely on his way out of Chicago. There's a bit more promise this time around, albeit in a top-heavy group, with both Henry and Smith capable of fetching more than $10 million per year as No. 1s. Gronk seems like a sure bet to re-up in Tampa Bay with another one-year pact in the range of $9-10 million. Top 2020 free agent earners: ($14 million), ($11 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners: , , Projected market value:$13 million-$20 million per yearQuality blockers are always in high demand, and this year, there's actually a solid group of plug-and-play starters at each position -- Williams at tackle, Scherff and Thuney at guard, and at center. Contenders with money to spend could easily dish out close to $20 million for a blind-side starter like Williams, while both Scherff and Thuney are Pro Bowl-caliber interior men.Top 2020 free agent earners:D.J. Reader ($13.25 million), ($13 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, Projected market value:$12 million-$20 million per year This might be one of the biggest boom-or-bust groups in terms of how much money it'll command. Williams' stock seems to keep rising as he approaches the market, and someone will inevitably talk themselves into buying his - or Fletcher Cox-level upside at the price of $17 million-$20 million per year, unle s the do so.Top 2020 free agent earners: Jr. ($15 million), ($14 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$15 million-$20 million per yearTeams have paid a pretty penny for pa s rushers Leo Komarov Kids Jersey for a long time, which is why they easily have the highest monetary floor of any position group. Barrett could be tagged, but if he isn't, he'll want to rival the average salaries of guys like ($17.5 million), ($20.8 million) and ($21 million). Neither Dupree nor Dennis Seidenberg Women Jersey Ngakoue are nece sarily elite on their own, but like others in this cla s (, , ), they'll almost certainly get top-25 edge rusher money. Top 2020 free agent earners: ($11.75 million), ($10.75 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$10 million-$14 million per yearWe tend to overlook off-ball linebackers in today's NFL (well, maybe not after what Tampa Bay's defense did in the Super Bowl). But the trio of David, Milano and Brown -- each of whom brings a real tenacity to the middle of the field -- could surprise with the deals they get. David, in particular, makes a ton of sense as a one- to three-year bet for a contender.Top 2020 free agent earners: ($16.5 million), ($14.5 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, IIIProjected market value:$9 million-$14 million per year A year after Jones set the stage for free agent corners in Miami, it'll be hard for anyone to match, let alone top, him in 2021. Griffin is a much streakier starter coming out of Seattle, and while Jackson has youth on his side, even a Trae Waynes-level overpay in his favor isn't likely to crack $15 million per year. Needy teams might be better off looking for smaller gambles like or .Top 2020 free agent earners: ($10 million), ($9.5 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$11 million-$15 million per yearA year after battered or older veterans led the market at the back end of the secondary, the 2021 safety cla s is chock-full of up-and-comers. Williams, Maye and vet III could all ink lucrative deals with a handful of cap-loaded teams on the hunt for new defensive starters. Harris may be looking for one last major payday after playing 2020 on the tag. Top 2020 free agent earners: ($2.75 million), ($2.5 million)Projected top 2021 free agent earners:, , Projected market value:$3 million-$4.5 million per yearKoo could be in line for something close to the extension ($4.66 million per year) got with the Giants late in 2020 thanks to his performance in Atlanta. Otherwise, it's busine s as usual here, with most teams preferring the waiver wire or undrafted rookie pool.
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